Decision making over time and under uncertainty: a common approach | Semantic Scholar (2024)

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@article{Prelec1991DecisionMO, title={Decision making over time and under uncertainty: a common approach}, author={Drazen Prelec and George Loewenstein}, journal={Management Science}, year={1991}, volume={37}, pages={770-786}, url={https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:154790167}}
  • D. Prelec, G. Loewenstein
  • Published 1 July 1991
  • Economics
  • Management Science

This paper considers a number of parallels between risky and intertemporal choice. We begin by demonstrating a one-to-one correspondence between the behavioral violations of the respective normative theories for the two domains (i.e., expected utility and discounted utility models). We argue that such violations (or preference reversals) are broadly consistent with three propositions about the weight that an attribute receives in both types of multiattribute choice. Specifically, it appears…

606 Citations

Highly Influential Citations

38

Background Citations

268

Methods Citations

25

Results Citations

25

606 Citations

Descriptive Models of Intertemporal Choice Part 1: Anomalies in Choices Between Less Sooner and More Later
    M. ScholtenD. Read

    Economics, Psychology

  • 2011

Two comparative models of intertemporal choice have recently been proposed as an alternative to the hyperbolic discounting model. One, the interval discounting model, retains the notion that

Decision making generalized by a cumulative probability weighting function
    Lindomar S. dos SantosN. DestefanoA. Martinez

    Economics, Psychology

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Beyond Time Discounting
    D. PrelecG. Loewenstein

    Psychology, Economics

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The intertemporal tradeoffs made by most persons appear inconsistent when viewed through the lens of the standard time-discounting model. At different times and in different decision contexts, the

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Modelling intertemporal choices: An anomaly approach.
    P. Roelofsma

    Economics

  • 1996
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Salience, Framing, and Decisions under Risk, Uncertainty, and Time
    Jonathan W. LelandMark Schneider

    Economics, Psychology

  • 2016

We propose a comparative model of decision making under risk, uncertainty, and time, in which large differences in payoffs and probabilities or dates of receipt are perceived as salient and

  • 6
  • PDF
Now for sure or later with a risk? Modeling risky intertemporal choice as accumulated preference.
    E. KonstantinidisD. RavenzwaaijSule GuneyB. Newell

    Psychology

  • 2020

It is shown that a model that allows for the subjective evaluation of a fixed now/certain option to change as a function of the delayed/risky option with which it is paired provides the best account of the combined choice and response time (RT) data.

  • 8
  • PDF
People Wait Longer when the Alternative is Risky: The Relation Between Preferences in Risky and Inter‐temporal Choice
    A. LuckmanC. DonkinB. Newell

    Psychology

  • 2017

In two experiments, we demonstrate that despite indicating indifference when probed about risk or delay in isolation, when forced to explicitly trade-off between the two, participants prefer delayed

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  • PDF
Risk in Time: The Intertwined Nature of Risk Taking and Time Discounting
    Thomas EpperHelga Fehr-Duda

    Economics, Psychology

    Journal of the European Economic Association

  • 2023

Standard economic models view risk taking and time discounting as two independent dimensions of decision making. However, mounting experimental evidence demonstrates striking parallels in patterns

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  • PDF
Descriptive Models of Intertemporal Choice Part 2: The Delay-Speedup Asymmetry and Other Anomalies
    M. ScholtenD. Read

    Economics

  • 2011

The delay-speedup asymmetry is that a positive outcome is discounted more, and a negative outcome is discounted less, when it is delayed than when it is “sped up” over the same interval. To account

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Dual Process Utility Theory: A Model of Decisions Under Risk and Over Time
    Mark Schneider

    Economics, Psychology

  • 2016

The Discounted Expected Utility model has been a major workhorse for analyzing individual behavior for over half a century. However, it cannot account for evidence that risk interacts with time

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